Betfury : how to not lose, and stack BFG

Hello,

i've started playing on Betfury recently, and I've tried to see how to stack BFG quickly.

First I wanted to calculate what game has the best return on bet.

Obvisouly, it will never be over 100%, but I tried to find the best game, in order to place a maximum number of bets with a given stack of satoshis.

I want to make it very clear that sometimes, it's not that obvious !

Let's take DICE, for example. One would think the better thing to do, in order to maximize the return is to play safely, using the 95% winning chance with 1.0315 multiplier. But in fact, playing with almost any other configuration is better. Even 1% winning chance is better.

For a game that simple, the calculus is very basic, you just have to multiply the multiplier by the chances of winning, and you get a percentage of return (then, you can substract that number of 100, and you get a percentage of loss)

I calculated the chances for the configurations of 1% chance of winning, 95%, and some random %.

for those three examples, the calculus are :

CHANCES * MULTIPLIER = RETURN ON BET

95% * 1.0315 = 97.9925%

1% * 98.0010 = 98.001%

7% * 14.0001 = 98.0007%

22% * 4.4545 = 97.999%

71% * 1.3802 = 97.9942%

I won't calculate all the possibilities, but in short, if I were to play Dice, I wouldn't play in with 95% winning chance.

But I wouldn't play it with 1% also, even if it's the best. Because, 1% chance of winning leaves a real possibility of losing 1000 times in a row, and then emptying your stack.

Maybe I would play with that 22%. Seems neat, since it's better than 95% and you would probably never lose even 100 times in a row. 

But I would calculate every possibility before.

I did not, because I found a better game, with a 98.88% return.

I'm only considering games where you can auto-play.

Game(BEST CONFIGURATION, % of return)

Plinko (Red Ball, 97.8778% return) Then it's Green, then blue.

Dice (Did not calculate best config yet , about 98% return)

Keno(10 balls with low risk, 98,278076% return approx.)

Mines (1 mine and 1 hit, 98.888% return) Remarkable. all other configurations seems to be like 95% approx. I did not calculate every one yet. It could take time, because there are many.

total wager for 1000 satoshis played in Mines again and again until all are lost : 88000 satoshis

I prefer playing batches of 2000 bets, losing something like 24 satoshis, and opening 3 boxes.

This way, my wager is up 2000, my stack is up 6 satoshi.

Maybe, some time later, I'll play satoshis 2 by 2. I'll update.

I'm using Brave as a main browser. It can make you generate some BAT tokens. Those can be sent to a BTC account (they are using Uphold wallets to do this).

I will first use this in a week, to re-inject my useless 12$ that I have accumulated in BAT tokens.

I will then use them on the best game possible, again and again, to make my wager go up and up, and I will stack some BFG this way, earning myself some PEDS, and getting paid in BTC from Betfury at the same time thanks to the BFG tokens accumulated.

My first payment should be made on december, the 8th. So, for now, this is all theoretical. I'll edit later.

When you go on a game page, the first thing to do is to put the bet at the minimum possible amount. This must be a reflex, you have to do it mechanically and carefully. A missclick can happen.

Don't be like me and missclick : you too could then play all your satoshis in one click and lose everything in 5 seconds.

I myself try to reach some goals, like 100 satoshi.. then 200... I had like 750 before the incident (missclick at 750 satoshi instead of 1).

If you know of another game that seems to present better chances, don't hesitate to tell me, I would be glad to calculate everything, or tell you why a game seems more interesting than it really is :)

It could make us all benefit. Big wagers > Rosenoire happy > more PEDS for us.

Thanks for reading, and good luck ! don't have too much fun though