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Betfury : how to not lose, and stack BFG

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Draxar View Drop Down
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Joined: 28 Mar 2016
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Draxar Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: Betfury : how to not lose, and stack BFG
    Posted: 30 Nov 2020 at 1:24pm
Hello,
i've started playing on Betfury recently, and I've tried to see how to stack BFG quickly.
You can go at the end directly , there is a summary.

1) Choosing the game

First I wanted to calculate what game has the best return on bet.
Obvisouly, it will never be over 100%, but I tried to find the best game, in order to place a maximum number of bets with a given stack of satoshis.

I want to make it very clear that sometimes, it's not that obvious !

Let's take DICE, for example. One would think the better thing to do, in order to maximize the return is to play safely, using the 95% winning chance with 1.0315 multiplier. But in fact, playing with almost any other configuration is better. Even 1% winning chance is better.

For a game that simple, the calculus is very basic, you just have to multiply the multiplier by the chances of winning, and you get a percentage of return (then, you can substract that number of 100, and you get a percentage of loss)

I calculated the chances for the configurations of 1% chance of winning, 95%, and some random %.

for those three examples, the calculus are :
CHANCES * MULTIPLIER = RETURN ON BET
95% * 1.0315 = 97.9925%
1% * 98.0010 = 98.001%
7% * 14.0001 = 98.0007%
22% * 4.4545 = 97.999%
71% * 1.3802 = 97.9942%

I won't calculate all the possibilities, but in short, if I were to play Dice, I wouldn't play in with 95% winning chance.
But I wouldn't play it with 1% also, even if it's the best. Because, 1% chance of winning leaves a real possibility of losing 1000 times in a row, and then emptying your stack.
Maybe I would play with that 22%. Seems neat, since it's better than 95% and you would probably never lose even 100 times in a row. 

But I would calculate every possibility before.

I did not, because I found a better game, with a 98.88% return.

I'm only considering games where you can auto-play.

2) List of games I considered, the one I'm using and how (I'll edit it with more games)

Game(BEST CONFIGURATION, % of return)

Plinko (Red Ball, 97.8778% return) Then it's Green, then blue.

Dice (Did not calculate best config yet , about 98% return)

Keno(10 balls with low risk, 98,278076% return approx.)

Mines (1 mine and 1 hit, 98.888% return) Remarkable. all other configurations seems to be like 95% approx. I did not calculate every one yet. It could take time, because there are many.

For now, I'm using : Mines with configuration : 1 mine and 1 hit
Only thing that bothers me is the auto-mode is really slow. 1 bet every 3-4 seconds.

total wager for 1000 satoshis played in Mines again and again until all are lost : 88000 satoshis

It could last 3 whole days (24/24) before you clear your stack.

I prefer playing batches of 2000 bets, losing something like 24 satoshis, and opening 3 boxes.
This way, my wager is up 2000, my stack is up 6 satoshi.

Maybe, some time later, I'll play satoshis 2 by 2. I'll update.


3) Injecting some other free funds into Betfury

I'm using Brave as a main browser. It can make you generate some BAT tokens. Those can be sent to a BTC account (they are using Uphold wallets to do this).

I will first use this in a week, to re-inject my useless 12$ that I have accumulated in BAT tokens.

I will then use them on the best game possible, again and again, to make my wager go up and up, and I will stack some BFG this way, earning myself some PEDS, and getting paid in BTC from Betfury at the same time thanks to the BFG tokens accumulated.

My first payment should be made on december, the 8th. So, for now, this is all theoretical. I'll edit later.

4) Mistakes

When you go on a game page, the first thing to do is to put the bet at the minimum possible amount. This must be a reflex, you have to do it mechanically and carefully. A missclick can happen.

Don't be like me and missclick : you too could then play all your satoshis in one click and lose everything in 5 seconds.

5) Summary

My advice is play on Mines with 1 mine and 1 hit. For me, it's the less bad in terms of losing.
Also, always play 1 satoshi per 1 satoshi in auto mode.
Don't try to "win back" what you lost. That's the beginning of the end. You can't beat the casino.

If you lose too much, just open some free boxes for a while.
But, with the low speed of the auto-mode of Mines, you should not be able to lose your satoshis if you keep opening boxes.

Also, this must be part of the summary : always pay attention at your bet amount ! By default, it's not 1 satoshi !! Don't click too quickly !

I myself try to reach some goals, like 100 satoshi.. then 200... I had like 750 before the incident (missclick at 750 satoshi instead of 1).

If you know of another game that seems to present better chances, don't hesitate to tell me, I would be glad to calculate everything, or tell you why a game seems more interesting than it really is :)

It could make us all benefit. Big wagers > Rosenoire happy > more PEDS for us.

Thanks for reading, and good luck ! don't have too much fun though Tongue
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Rosenoire View Drop Down
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Joined: 20 Aug 2013
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Rosenoire Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 Nov 2020 at 6:56pm
It's a long way to collect BFG tokens but loose all of them in case of gambling is so easy :) 
Neber bet BFG tokens and as said Draxar, don't try to increase bet to recover the last loose. At then end, you will loose:) Trust me, I tried it many times:)
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Draxar View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Draxar Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 01 Dec 2020 at 10:34am
I have edited the post, as the game Mines seems to be a lot better than Keno !
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